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Economy

Hard Times Ahead as Minor Gains Lost

Source: https://www.kinsahealth.co/blog/health-weather/hard-times-ahead-as-minor-gains-lost/

With COVID-19 data from this week showing record case numbers and hospitalizations, Kinsa’s data show no signs of things getting better. 15 states are signalling imminent increases in our early-warning system, including the already hard-hit states of Texas, Missouri and West Virginia. El Paso county in Texas, where cases are already high at 176 cases per 100k residents, is projected to only get worse.

The Midwest and Mountain West haven’t fared well over the last few weeks and there are no indications of case and hospitalization counts plateauing in these regions. Eight counties in Colorado look particularly troubling, according to our forward-looking data that accounts for rate of transmission or Rt. An Rt above one means each person infected with an illness infects more than one other person, suggesting that case counts will grow. We see similar trends in counties in Idaho, Kansas, Indiana, Illinois and others.

Watchlist

  • Northeastern Arkansas
  • Colorado
  • Southern FL
  • Boise area, ID
  • Chicago area, IL
  • Western Indiana
  • Wichita area, KS
  • Louisville area, KY
  • Michigan
  • Missouri
  • Cleveland & Akron areas, OH
  • Tulsa area, OK
  • Nashville area, TN
  • Spokane area, WA
  • Madison area, WI

Many of the downward trends we saw in the rate of transmission of fever-based illnesses in the previous week in places like California, Oregon and Washington have begun to reverse.

More areas have an increased transmission rate compared to last week. In the case of Oregon and southern Washington, things have shifted for the worse. Hotspots show up along the Idaho border in a cluster that extends to Montana.

While it’s an inauspicious end to the fall months, there is some potentially good news on the horizon. Some of our early flu indicators are showing that this season’s outbreak may be more tame than previous years, possibly sparing us the dreaded “twin-demic.”

To learn more about the data behind this article and what Kinsa has to offer, visit https://www.kinsahealth.co/.

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Data is changing the speed of business. Investors, Corporations, and Governments are buying new, differentiated data to gain visibility make better decisions. Don't fall behind. Let us help.

DATA PROVIDER SPOTLIGHT

ForwardKeys

ForwardKeys is one of the leading travel analytics firms that provides investment firms with alternative and predictive data on the travel industry. Data is offered both on the demand and the offer-side of the aviation market.

Actual Air Reservations is an aggregation of flight bookings made via the Global Distribution Systems. Exclusive agreements make that global travel data is available, including regions that are generally difficult to track. This data contains valuable insights into the profile, behaviour, and impact of events on past, present and future air travellers.

Seat Capacity provides insights into the scheduled flights from 99% of global commercial airlines.

Financial institutions use this data for artificial intelligence and predictive models to forecast the performances of businesses. Combined, the datasets can provide insights into the financial health of businesses operating in the travel and tourism industry. This list contains companies like airlines, airplane leasing companies, oil companies, hotels and travel agencies.