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Economy

Labor Markets are Not as Healthy as They Look!

Source: https://www.reveliolabs.com/blog/5ozluxd8bfiniz7mx0grn8dc3qegsl

In recent weeks, labor markets have appeared to stabilize as the number of new job postings has increased. But while postings have grown, the salaries associated with those postings have fallen dramatically.

By tracking expected salaries from 9 million job listings since March, and controlling for changes in seniority, occupation, and city, we found that salaries have fallen by 8.8%.

Below are the changes to salaries by city:

And below are the changes to salaries by job type:

Takeaways:

  • Overall demand for labor continues to fall dramatically amid high unemployment. This has manifested itself, not through fewer employment opportunities, but through lower wages. This effect is entirely consistent with economic theory and gets missed by conflating demand with quantity demanded.
  • While the public sector has received significant support these last few months, the private sector has received less, which may explain why cities like New York and Philadelphia are more impacted than cities like Washington DC.
  • We believe that there is significant and unrealized risk of wage deflation in the near future. While interest rates are currently fairly low, we see evidence that monetary policy is insufficiently accommodating in the current environment.

To learn more about the data behind this article and what Revelio Labs has to offer, visit https://www.reveliolabs.com/.

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Data is changing the speed of business. Investors, Corporations, and Governments are buying new, differentiated data to gain visibility make better decisions. Don't fall behind. Let us help.

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Advan

Advan provides hedge funds and institutional investors with unmatched insights into both foot and vehicle traffic to enable better investment decisions. Using precise, manual geofencing, it has the most extensive and accurate location data, available in seconds through an intuitive, self-service dashboard. Its institutional-grade analytics allow fast and actionable insights into customer behavior and corporate activity.

Advan is headquartered in New York City. For more information please visit www.advan.us