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Growth in VMT does not follow vaccinations, so far.

Source: https://inrix.com/blog/2021/04/vmtgrowth-vaccination/

Growth in VMT does not follow vaccinations – so far.

INRIX continues to monitor vehicle miles traveled (VMT), the amount people drive, as the country re-emerges from COVID-19. VMT across the United States has continued to surge since the beginning of March.

VMT in the United States continues to rise.
Yet growth in VMT has not been evenly disbursed. Kentucky saw the largest growth in VMT vs four weeks ago with a 31% unadjusted growth in travel. Vermont has seen the lowest growth at 4%. Overall, travel in the Southern United States has seen large increases in VMT over the past 4 weeks as indicated in the map below.

To gain a better understanding of understanding of travel and it correlates to COVID-19 and vaccinations, INRIX has compiled official vaccination data by state (healthdata.gov), case data from the New York Times, and VMT from INRIX Trip Analytics.

You can see weekly statistics (Vaccinations, Cases, VMT) for each state below:

Among states with the highest vaccination rates, VMT has significantly grown in New Mexico and South Dakota significantly. Maine and New Hampshire have had large increases in vaccinations, yet have seen significant growth in COVID-19 cases, perhaps influencing VMT numbers – keeping VMT growth slower than other highly-vaccinated states.

Simply put, it appears that vaccinations do not necessarily correlate with VMT growth. Just two of the most vaccinated states show large increases in VMT since January. Four out of the top most vaccinated states show relatively high levels of COVID cases and a small growth in VMT. Further, even states like North Dakota (34% vaccinated), Wisconsin (33%) and Iowa (32%) have relatively low or moderate VMT growth – despite high relative percentages of people vaccinated.

Yet among the states with the largest growth in VMT since January, only two (Tennessee and Utah) show a small increase in COVID cases, and all have moderate-to-low levels of vaccinations.

Similarly, some states with high VMT growth show a high COVID growth rate, while two, Tennessee and Utah, have relatively low COVID growth rates.

In other words, it doesn’t appear vaccinations are tied to more growth in VMT, yet. Under half of the population still has yet to receive one shot of the vaccine, and in many states vaccines were prioritized to people more susceptible to the COVID-19 virus, like aging adult communities, essential workers, and those with conditions that put them at greater risk.

Since many states have begun opening up vaccinations to nearly everybody, we will continue to monitor vaccinations, cases and VMT to determine the role of vaccinations in mobility.

To learn more about the data behind this article and what Inrix has to offer, visit https://inrix.com/.

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DATA PROVIDER SPOTLIGHT

ForwardKeys

ForwardKeys is one of the leading travel analytics firms that provides investment firms with alternative and predictive data on the travel industry. Data is offered both on the demand and the offer-side of the aviation market.

Actual Air Reservations is an aggregation of flight bookings made via the Global Distribution Systems. Exclusive agreements make that global travel data is available, including regions that are generally difficult to track. This data contains valuable insights into the profile, behaviour, and impact of events on past, present and future air travellers.

Seat Capacity provides insights into the scheduled flights from 99% of global commercial airlines.

Financial institutions use this data for artificial intelligence and predictive models to forecast the performances of businesses. Combined, the datasets can provide insights into the financial health of businesses operating in the travel and tourism industry. This list contains companies like airlines, airplane leasing companies, oil companies, hotels and travel agencies.

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LET US HELP

Data is changing the speed of business. Investors, Corporations, and Governments are buying new, differentiated data to gain visibility make better decisions. Don't fall behind. Let us help.

DATA PROVIDER SPOTLIGHT

ForwardKeys

ForwardKeys is one of the leading travel analytics firms that provides investment firms with alternative and predictive data on the travel industry. Data is offered both on the demand and the offer-side of the aviation market.

Actual Air Reservations is an aggregation of flight bookings made via the Global Distribution Systems. Exclusive agreements make that global travel data is available, including regions that are generally difficult to track. This data contains valuable insights into the profile, behaviour, and impact of events on past, present and future air travellers.

Seat Capacity provides insights into the scheduled flights from 99% of global commercial airlines.

Financial institutions use this data for artificial intelligence and predictive models to forecast the performances of businesses. Combined, the datasets can provide insights into the financial health of businesses operating in the travel and tourism industry. This list contains companies like airlines, airplane leasing companies, oil companies, hotels and travel agencies.