The holiday season approaches, and another quarter is in the books. The second quarter was a rough one for multifamily, as with the broader economy, but some positive signs emerged in the last few months. This month we take a closer look at Q3 performance and, as always, numbers will refer to conventional properties of at least 50 units.
One of the trends that has emerged in 2020 is a flight to affordability, with expensive markets and properties being especially adversely affected in many cases. Today we take a closer look at third quarter performance for the five most expensive US markets based on average effective rent per unit. Those markets are San Francisco – Oakland, New York City, Boston, Los Angeles – Orange County and San Diego.
Through what has been an unusual year, to say the least, the multifamily industry has in many ways been on the front lines of the disruption to lives and livelihoods. This impact has been borne out across multiple metrics, but nowhere so clearly as in multifamily demand. Through the first eight months of 2020 apartment demand fell by 42% compared to the same period last year – even as new deliveries were almost on par with last year’s volume.
Due to a confluence of factors such as increased construction deliveries, reduced tourism and business travel, very high average rents, and a workforce more mobile than that in many areas of the country the Bay Area market in California has been especially negatively impacted from a multifamily perspective so far this year. For that reason, in this space today we’ll be taking a closer look at recent performance for the area across a variety of metrics.
One aspect of the new environment for multifamily that has become apparent over the last few months is that new supply is likely to act as a headwind for market performance as we move through 2020 and into early 2021. Apartment demand through July was half that of the same period last year, and 50,000 less units were absorbed than added in the first seven months of the year.
While multifamily performance in 2020 has not been what the industry had grown accustomed to in the latter half of the last decade, it is not as though occupancy and rent gains have entirely disappeared across the country. With that in mind, let’s look at some markets that have led the way in either average occupancy growth or average effective rent growth since the start of the second quarter – with one caveat.
2020 has been a bumpy ride for the multifamily industry, especially the second quarter. Although the impact of COVID-19 and the new economic environment has been felt across the board, there are some distinct differences in how that has played out on the ground. One angle from which some differences become apparent is from the perspective of price class.
he first half of 2020 was, in many ways, unprecedented. The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on the economy as a whole, and on multifamily specifically. We’ve covered various aspects of that impact elsewhere on the ALN blog. In this space today, let’s consider how Texas multifamily performed in the first half of the year from a few different perspectives.
With most of the country now in some stage of economic re-opening, the lockdown phase of the COVID-19 response is, at least for now, behind us. The road back to pre-pandemic normalcy is likely to be a rocky one and uncertainty abounds. Before looking ahead, let’s take a look at how stabilized properties performed in April and May while much of the country was under some form of shelter-in-place policy.
The biggest impact of uncertainty and upheaval of the last few months has been the drastic reduction in multifamily demand. Depending on the area or the product type, either average occupancy or average effective rent may have been adversely affected more than the other – but net absorption decline has been the rule everywhere.
ALN is conducting an ongoing survey of more than 60,000 conventional properties around the United States in effort to understand to what extent on-time full rent payments are being made and what measures properties are taking to work with their residents during this challenging and unprecedented period.
Our preliminary look at May data will focus on Texas and all numbers are derived from the responses of conventional properties with at least 50 units.
The dominant story of 2020 across all markets continues to be COVID-19 and the fallout from both the virus and the response to it. The impact is being felt across the economy, and multifamily real estate is no exception. April was the first full month in which a majority of the country was locked down and provides a first full look at what that may look like for the apartment industry. We’ll use this space to highlight some markets that stood out in April.
The dominant story of 2020 across all markets continues to be COVID-19 and the fallout from both the virus and the response to it. The impact is being felt across the economy, and multifamily real estate is no exception. April was the first full month in which a majority of the country was locked down and provides a first full look at what that may look like for the apartment industry. We’ll use this space to highlight some best and worst performing markets in April.
April is in the books and as the first full month in which COVID-19 response measures were in effect for much of the country, industry observers have been anxiously awaiting a look at final results for the month. As part of ALN’s ongoing analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on the multifamily industry, today we take a look at price class performance in the month of April.
The response measures taken in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic began to be felt in earnest in March for much of the US multifamily industry. ALN is conducting an ongoing survey of more than 60,000 conventional properties around the United States in effort to understand to what extent on-time full rent payments are being made and what measures properties are taking to work with their residence during this challenging and unprecedented period.
Our first look at this data will focus on Texas and all numbers are derived from the responses of about 500 conventional properties of at least 50 units.