Access to mortgage credit in underserved areas has always been one of the major concerns for housing policy experts and community activists. In previous years, Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data has been used to assess at what level the mortgage service needs in these communities are met. Though HMDA data is the most comprehensive publicly available detail on home mortgage loans across the U.S. residential mortgage market the data is dated when released only on an annual basis.
National home prices increased 18% year over year in October 2021, according to the latest CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI®) Report . The October 2021 HPI gain was up from the October 2020 gain of 7.4% and was the highest 12-month growth in the U.S. index since the series began in 1976. The increase in home prices was fueled by low mortgage rates, low for-sale supply and an influx in homebuying activity from investors. Projected increases in for-sale supply and moderation in demand as prices grow out of reach for some buyers could slow home price gains over the next 12 months.
The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our Home Price Index product with analysis through October 2021 and forecasts through October 2022. CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner. CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a 30-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.
In May 2021, 1-in-5 purchase-home loan applications had an appraisal gap (meaning the estimated value in the appraisal is lower than the agreed upon contract price) that averaged 4.5% below buyer’s offer price. The frequency of an appraisal gap has since closed quickly after rising rapidly between January and May 2021. The decline in the appraisal gap occurred amid the fastest-rising annual home prices on record but weakening month-to-month price momentum.
More money is being spent on real estate than ever before. Through the second quarter of 2021, the total value of residential real estate transactions was over $600 billion for the third time in the past year, for a total of $750 billion. It has been steadily on the rise since 2010, but has recently taken a particularly sharp upswing. Recent totals exceed the previous peak of $568 billion in Q3 2005.The value of transactions has skyrocketed, despite sales count, continuing a relatively normal growth trend.
U.S. single-family rent growth increased 10.2% in September 2021, the fastest year-over-year increase in over 16 years, according to the CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI). The index measures rent changes among single-family rental homes, including condominiums, using a repeat-rent analysis to measure the same rental properties over time. The September 2021 increase was nearly four times the September 2020 increase, and while the index growth slowed last summer, rent growth is running well above pre-pandemic levels when compared with 2019.
The latest release of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index indicated that home price growth remained strong in August, clocking in a 19.8% annual growth, same as the month prior. Nevertheless, after 10 months of double-digit annual home price growth nationally, home price acceleration is showing signs of reprieve. In addition to the national growth rate stalling, the 10-city annual growth slowed from 19.2% to 18.6%, and the 20-city annual rate was down from 20% to 19.7% in August, non-seasonally adjusted.
The CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights report features an interactive view of our mortgage performance analysis through August 2021. Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. To more comprehensively monitor mortgage performance, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates that indicate the percent of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.
In August 2021, 4% of home mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure) , which was a 2.6-percentage point decrease from August 2020 according to the latest CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Report . However, overall delinquencies were still above the early 2020 pre-pandemic rate of 3.6%. The share of mortgages that were 30 to 59 days past due — considered early-stage delinquencies — was 1.1% in August 2021, down from 1.5% in August 2020.
Supply shortages have been a hallmark of the pandemic. Not only is the U.S. facing a labor shortage, but many building materials are in short supply, slowing down new home construction and making it difficult for some sellers to prepare their existing homes for sale. The shortage in for-sale homes has driven the number of days homes are on the market to new lows in 2021.
National home prices increased 18% year over year in September 2021, according to the latest CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI®) Report. The September 2021 HPI gain was up from the September 2020 gain of 6.6% and was the highest 12-month growth in the U.S. index since the series began in 1976. The increase in home prices was fueled by low mortgage rates, low for-sale supply and an influx in homebuying activity from investors. Projected increases in for-sale supply and moderation in demand as prices grow out of reach for some buyers could slow home price gains over the next 12 months.
The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our Home Price Index product with analysis through September 2021 with forecasts from September 2022. CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner. CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a 30-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.
U.S. single-family rent growth increased 9.3% in August 2021, the fastest year-over-year increase in over 16 years, according to the CoreLogic Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI). The index measures rent changes among single-family rental homes, including condominiums, using a repeat-rent analysis to measure the same rental properties over time. The August 2021 increase was more than four times the August 2020 increase, and while the index growth slowed last summer, rent growth is running well above pre-pandemic levels when compared with 2019.
In July 2021, 4.2% of home mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure), which was a 2.3-percentage point decrease from July 2020 according to the latest CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights Report . However, overall delinquencies were still above the early 2020 pre-pandemic rate of 3.6%. The share of mortgages that were 30 to 59 days past due — considered early-stage delinquencies — was 1.1% in July 2021, down from 1.5% in July 2020.
The CoreLogic Loan Performance Insights report features an interactive view of our mortgage performance analysis through July 2021. Measuring early-stage delinquency rates is important for analyzing the health of the mortgage market. To more comprehensively monitor mortgage performance, CoreLogic examines all stages of delinquency as well as transition rates that indicate the percent of mortgages moving from one stage of delinquency to the next.
2021 is shaping up to be a very different year for investors than 2020. After pulling back their market activity at the onset of the pandemic, investors had a business-as-usual winter, before capturing the highest market share seen in the last 10 years in the second quarter. Figure 1 shows the share of total purchases that were made by investors in each month. 2019 shows the normal seasonal pattern. Investor purchase shares are highest in the winter months when owner-occupied buyers are less active.
The CoreLogic Home Price Insights report features an interactive view of our Home Price Index product with analysis through August 2021 with forecasts from August 2022. CoreLogic HPI™ is designed to provide an early indication of home price trends. The indexes are fully revised with each release and employ techniques to signal turning points sooner. CoreLogic HPI Forecasts™ (with a 30-year forecast horizon), project CoreLogic HPI levels for two tiers—Single-Family Combined (both Attached and Detached) and Single-Family Combined excluding distressed sales.
National home prices increased 18.1% year over year in August 2021, according to the latest CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI®) Report. The August 2021 HPI gain was up from the August 2020 gain of 5.9% and was the highest 12-month growth in the U.S. index since the series began in 1976. The increase in home prices was fueled by low mortgage rates, low for-sale supply and an influx in homebuying activity from investors. Projected increases in for-sale supply and moderation in demand as prices grow out of reach for some buyers could slow home price gains over the next 12 months.
An increasing number of millennials, those born from 1981 to 1996, are in or are approaching their first-time homebuying years. Older millennials, meanwhile, are in the age-range for a move-up purchase. According to the CoreLogic® Loan Application Database, millennials made up 67% of first-time home purchase applications and 37% of repeat home purchase applications in 2021. Millennials have made up the largest share of home purchase mortgage applications since 2016, accounting for 51 percent of home-purchase mortgage applications in 2021, up five percentage points from 2019
Home equity – the difference between the value of a home and the amount of mortgage debt on the home – is an important component of overall household wealth. Changes in the amount of home-equity wealth will be primarily affected by growth in home values and pay down of mortgage loan balances. For the last few years, home-value appreciation has been the major creator of wealth.
